The Keys to the White House: Update 3

[Winter]

Seems that Key 11, Major Foreign or Military Success, has Turned True meaning there are now only 4 False Keys for the Democratic to contend with. We still have 50 days to go before November 5th meaning that the keys we need to focus on are No Social Unrest and No Scandal. Keys 1 through 7 have come and gone and will remain True or False Until after the Election. Key 10, No foreign or military failure, is very likely to turn false while the Last Two Keys (Charismatic incumbent and Uncharismatic challenger) will likewise remain False and True Respectively.

There is some debate as to whether the Scandal Key will turn false due to the second attempt on Donald Trump's life but this is unlikely to have an affect as both shooters have no connection to Harris or Biden and the second attempt has barely been noted on the public (seriously the second assassination attempt was only trending at number 10 on Twitter before going down and despairing altogether from the top 30 list after an hour (there were more people talking about Fan Duels which was trending at number 1 for 3 hours then the second assassination attempt)).

Further more there is nothing tying either Harris or Biden to these shooters and as far as we know they were acting on their own.

At the moment the Social Unrest Key seems to be remaining True (knock on wood) and it's unlikely to change in the next 50 days (again knock on wood).

Not helping Trump is his poor performance at the Second Presidential Debate where he lost, badly, which was then followed by Taylor Swift Endorsing Kamala Harris right after the debate and then him later tweeting on his Social Media site, in all caps, I hate Taylor Swift and Elon Musk making a rape threat towards Swift as well a day after she endorsed Harris.

One final note, I've got to wonder about Trump's Health. He's been impeached (twice) lost the popular vote (twice) lost the election in 2020, has been in and out of court several times over the past 4 years. Has been convicted 34 times. Two people, both of whom I'm pretty sure are Republicans, attempted to assassinate him. Lost a debate with Harris, has had notably fewer people showing up to his rallies then what Harris has gotten and is likely to lose the election this year. Not to mention Swift endorsing Harris when a few months ago he thought had supported him. Add onto the fact that he is clearly not in the best physical shape and his advance age all this stress and anger is simply not healthy for him and I have to wonder how much of a toll on his health this is all taking.

[McAvoy]

One final note, I've got to wonder about Trump's Health. He's been impeached (twice) lost the popular vote (twice) lost the election in 2020, has been in and out of court several times over the past 4 years. Has been convicted 34 times. Two people, both of whom I'm pretty sure are Republicans, attempted to assassinate him. Lost a debate with Harris, has had notably fewer people showing up to his rallies then what Harris has gotten and is likely to lose the election this year. Not to mention Swift endorsing Harris when a few months ago he thought had supported him. Add onto the fact that he is clearly not in the best physical shape and his advance age all this stress and anger is simply not healthy for him and I have to wonder how much of a toll on his health this is all taking.

Trump's health has always been a topic of discussion. Whether you are talking about his weight at his age, his lack of exercise, his diet which sounds like that of a pre-teen, or Family history of dementia which hsi father died of.

Not to mention the amount of stress he is under now, self induced or not.

My running joke is that Trump will die on the toilet in between the third and fourth flush from a heart attack while rage texting on his Truth Social.

[Thebestoftherest]

Are true keys or flase keys good?

[Winter]

Are true keys or flase keys good?

Depends on who wants to win and who's in office. Every True Key right now is good for Harris while Every False Key good for Trump. In 2016 the Democrats got 6 False Keys which meant Trump would win the election but in 2020 Trump got 7 False Keys which meant he lost reelection. This year, the Democrats have, at this time, 4 False Keys which means they're predicted to win and Trump will lose again.

There are, of course, other factors to keep in mind here. Over the centuries there have been, I think, 5 Presidents who lost a first term but went on to attempt to get reelected but of those 5 only one succeeded, that being Grover Cleveland who was well known for being an honest man. However, 15 Vice Presidents have gone on to become, 8 as a result of the Death of the President while 4 were elected into office.

Furthermore, as stated before, Trump is a president who has been impeached, is a convicted felon and an insurrectionist. All are factors working against him and while he may have his followers who believe he can do no wrong most of them aren't true believers and are just getting swept up in the hype, a hype that has been dying down for almost 8 years now and took a massive blow in the resent Presidential Debate where Trump lost against his opponent, badly.

That point must not be understated. In the lead up to the debate Trump supporters thought that Harris would lose in the debate as the last debate ended with Biden leaving the race. None of them seemed to realize that this wasn't like the other debates. Harris had to been preparing herself for a week for this debate and was studying Trump and used her skills as a Prosecutor to her advantage. Helping her is that she is younger, is just as also something of a showman and is a skilled debater and was use to dealing with people like Trump.

All these factors have been an issue for Trump and with the support of Taylor Swift he's losing the support he had.

[Thebestoftherest]

A convicted felon vs a prosecutor.